Forecasting Electricity Consumption Using Deep Learning Methods with Hyperparameter Tuning, Hiperparametre Ayarl Derin Orenme Yontemleri ile Elektrik Tuketiminin Tahmini

Abstract

In this study, it is tried to estimate one-day electricity consumption by using deep learning methods with a dataset which includes the change in time-dependent electricity consumption. After explaining the time series components and machine learning concepts, general information about previous studies on electricity consumption estimation is given. Since the dataset used is a time series, all the features are emphasized in detail and necessary operations like resample and differencing are performed before proceeding to the modeling. Tuning was applied on hyperparameters which significantly affect the performance of the algorithms used in the modeling stage and the most suitable parameters were searched for each method. Then the best results were compared with each other and the method with the lowest error rate was determined. © 2021 Elsevier B.V., All rights reserved.